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Beer Sales Down 39%

Wednesday 13th April

NEW HMRC FIGURES SHOW BEER SALES IN "ON TRADE" DOWN BY 4.8% ON YEAR EARLIER AS PUNCH TAVERNS REVEALS LOSSES OF £350M AND DEMERGER PLANS

The old naval tradition of the captain last to leave a sinking ship is being reversed at Punch Taverns as Dyson the chief executive is the first off to the lifeboat - leaving the tenants and bondholders to fend for themselves if the demerger happens says GMB

An analysis by GMB, the union for tied pub tenants, of official data shows that total alcohol volumes released for UK consumption in the year to January 2011 are 1% down on the levels for the year to January 2010 and down 0.2% on the figure for the year to December 2010. This analysis comes as Punch Taverns, one of the biggest pubco operators, announced losses of £350.7m for the first half of the financial year and its plans to demerge the company and dispose of unprofitable pubs.

The latest official HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) figures for January 2011 show that the volume of wine released for UK consumption in the year to January 2011 was down by 0.7% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and down 0.4% on the volume for the year to January 2010.

In the year to January 2011 the volume of cider released for UK consumption was up by 0.7% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and up by 0.1% for the year to January 2010.

In the year to January 2011 the volume of spirits released for UK consumption was down by 2% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and up 2.2% on the volume for the year to January 2010.

In the year to January 2011 the volume of beer released for UK consumption was down by 0.1% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and was 2% down on the volume for the year to January 2010.

In the year to January 2011 the volume of beer released for UK consumption in the "on trade" was down by 0.1% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and was 4.8% down on the figure for the year to January 2010. Sales of beer in the "on trade" are down 38.8% on the peak levels in 2002.

In the year to January 2011 the volume of beer released for UK consumption in the "off trade" was down by 0.1% on the volume for the year to December 2010 and was 1.3% up on the volume for the year to January 2010.

These figures are from a GMB analysis of the latest official figures for alcohol released for UK consumption up to December 2010, the latest figure available which were released today by HMRC and set out in the table below.

This analysis of alcohol volumes released for sale by GMB, the union for tied pub tenants, shows an unsteady and uneven recovery underway in the seasonally adjusted monthly volumes of some type of alcoholic drinks released for consumption in the UK while volumes are still well below pre-recession levels for all types of alcoholic drinks except cider.

The indices for the seasonally adjusted monthly volumes of wine, beer, cider and spirits released for UK consumption from August 2007 to January 2011 are set out in the Table below with the figures indexed from the volumes in June 2002.

In value terms alcohol consumption is still well down on the peak level of £43.4 billion sold in the UK in 2007. Beer had a market share of 41.6% of all sales in 2009 and volumes are still declining. Spirits had a market share of 20.2 % of sales in 2009.  Volumes of wines and ciders, with a market share of 38.2% of sales in 2009, are growing. In 2009 total alcohol sales in the UK had fallen in value by 4.6% to £41.4 billion

Alcohol: GMB analysis of seasonally adjusted monthly quantities released for UK consumption- Source HM Revenue and Customs

Please click here to view table.

Paul Maloney GMB National Officer for tied tenants said "Beer sales in the "on trade" continue to fall month by month. They have fallen off a cliff – down 38.9% from peak levels - as pubs are priced out of the market and close as a result of rents being too high.

Ian Dyson chief Executive of Punch plans to be the Chief Executive of Spirit.  The old naval tradition of the captain being last to leave a sinking ship is being reversed at Punch Taverns one of the largest pub operators. Dyson the chief Executive of Punch is the first off to captain the lifeboat - leaving the tenants and bondholders to fend for themselves if the planned demerger actually happens.

GMB has called for bondholders, shareholders and tenants as stakeholders in Punch to work together and for the debts to be converted to equity. ( See GMB press release on this in notes to Editors below). We understand that a majority of the bondholders are now in favour of this outcome. So why is Dyson to so keen the desert the sinking ship and head for the lifeboat

The recent rise in VAT to 20%  means that the differential in the price of beer in supermarkets and pubs is wider than ever. More pubs will close.

The private equity inspired property companies like Punch that own large chunks of the pub estate are charging these sky high rents to pay interest to offshore bondholders. They are doing absolutely nothing to end this loss of market share.

The regulatory authorities have done nothing to save tied tenants from this market abuse by these property companies that own pubs. The Government has done nothing either. Pub tenants are bitter at this inaction.

Government talk about binge drinking completely misses the point that supermarkets are the source of much of the drink as beer sales in pubs are 38.8 % down on the peak year of 2002."

 

End

 

Contact: Paul Maloney on 07801 343 839 or Hayley Brennan on 07850 919933 or GMB Press Office 07974 251 823 or 07921 289 880

Notes to editors

This is the text of GMB press release of 17th November 2010

 

GMB CALL ON PUNCH TAVERNS BOARD TO EXPLORE WITH BONDHOLDERS THE CONVERSION OF £3.6 BILLION OF DEBTS TO EQUITY FOR MORE VIABLE PUB BUSINESS

 

The debts average £534,901 per pub and  interest payment and the costs of insuring the loans amounts to £271 per day per pub and is payable whether the pub is trading at a profit or not

 

GMB, the union for tied tenants, is calling on Ian Dyson Chief Executive and the  Punch Taverns board to explore with its bondholders the conversion of its £3.6 billion debts to equity to ensure a more viable pub business. This call comes as a result of a detailed study undertaken for GMB by outside experts of the published accounts of the group and the securitised vehicles within it.

 

The key numbers arising from the study are set out in the two tables below. They lead GMB to conclude that the common view that shareholders in Punch Taverns own a pub business is wrong. The analysis shows that 92 per cent of its assets are securitized: they belong not to shareholders, but to three investment vehicles: Punch A, Punch B and Spirit. GMB conclude that shareholders don’t own a pub business; they own a holding company which invests in and manages pub securitizations. These bonds in these vehicles are due for repayment in 2033 and 2035.

 

GMB calculates that the debts per pub averages £534,901. The interest payment alone amounts to £36,373 per year per pub.There are also huge costs of derivative financial instruments to insure the debts amounting to an average of £62,000 per pub in 2010. Thus financing cost are on average £98,554 per pub per annum or £271 per day per pub.

 

The figures show Punch A and Punch B are soaking up PLC cash and both are cash trapped. The company as a whole made a loss of £159.1 in year to end August 2010. The figures show that the company has little scope for capital expenditure to upgrade the estate nor is there scope to pay a dividend. The figures show that Punch has disposed of 2.486 pubs since the peak year in 2006 when it had a total of 9,256 pubs.

 

Earlier this monthMorgan Stanley analyst Jamie Rollo said that Punch shares could be worth as little as 5p in the worst case but could reach 110p if they recovered. GMB are unable to comment on this.

 

Punch Taverns – analysis of the published accounts.  Please click here to view.

Paul Maloney GMB National Officer for GMB tied tenants said “This analysis of the Punch published accounts leads GMB to conclude that Chief Executive Ian Dyson needs to follow the example of MGM and begin discussions with the bondholders to convert debts to equity.

 

I can not honestly say that I understand all the intricacies of the accounts but I do understand the mountains of debt and amount of red ink in a company set up by debt junkies. The debts average £534,901 per pub and  interest payment and the costs of insuring the loans amounts to £271 per day per pub and is payable whether the pub is trading at a profit or not.

 

These are trying times in the pub trade. It is essential that the interests of all the stakeholders are aligned to enable the major players to come up with an agreed strategy to stop the decline.

 

This can not happen if most of the surplus income generated from trading is needed to pay the bondholders. It is time to unwind the financial engineering that has gone badly wrong.

 

GMB consider that it would be much better if Punch shareholders owned a pub business rather than owning a holding company which invests in and manages pub securitizations.

 

For a thriving pub sector we need pub companies charging open market rents to tenants who can compete on price in buildings refurbished to a high standard and where customer service and care is the top priority. That way there will be a decent income for all the stakeholders.

 

Many of the Punch bondholders are based in offshore tax havens and the securitised structure is costing the UK Exchequer a lot of lost taxes in these times of austerity. GMB sponsored Members of Parliament will be asked to take an active interest to establish the scale of the tax losses. It is union policy that there should be no tax relief on debt interest payable in leveraged vehicles. ”

End

Contact Paul Maloney GMB 07801 343 839 or Hayley Brennan 07850 919933

 

Notes: to Editors

 

1 Debt Service Cover Ratio is the ratio of cash available to pay debt compared to the repayments that are due.

 

2 Finance A is due for repayment in 2033, Finance B in 2035 and Spirit in 2033.

 

3 The debt fully repays over terms extending to 25 years and is effectively at a fixed rate of interest of 6.8%

 

 

 

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